Sample data. These picks and results were generated for layout purposes and are not real. Remove src/data/demo-picks.ts and unset NEXT_PUBLIC_DEMO_DATA before this page goes live.

Wager Athletics

Track Record

Every pick below is timestamped when it is sent to subscribers and graded afterward. Nothing is edited, nothing is deleted, and losses are shown alongside wins. Scroll down for the complete log.

Net profit
+17.96u
114.0u risked across 83 settled picks
ROI
15.8%
Return per unit risked
Record
49-34
1 still pending
Win rate
59.0%
Break-even at these odds: 51.3%
Average odds
-102
Unit-weighted across decided picks
Current streak
2 L
Best run 5W · worst 4L
Max drawdown
−12.3u
Deepest peak-to-trough dip

Cumulative units

83 settled picks
0u+6u+12u+19u2026-06-202026-08-22

On sample size: 83 decided picks is a small sample. Short-term results in betting are dominated by variance, and no record over a few dozen picks proves an edge either way.

By sport

SportPicksRecordUnitsROI
MLB6237-25+15.10u17.4%
NFL126-4+3.92u28.0%thin
UFC74-3+0.99u13.2%thin
Tennis42-2−2.06u-37.4%thin

By month

MonthPicksRecordUnitsROI
August 20262817-9+13.54u38.1%
July 20264021-19−3.63u-6.9%
June 20261711-6+8.05u31.6%thin

Every pick

85 shown
PostedMatchupPickOddsUnitsResultP/L
Aug 22
5:20 PM UTC
Diamondbacks @ Orioles
MLB · Spread
Diamondbacks -1.5
+1401uLoss−1.00u
Aug 21
6:20 PM UTC
Ravens @ Cowboys
NFL · Player Prop
Ravens team total Over
-1151uPending
Aug 20
2:30 PM UTC
Twins @ Diamondbacks
MLB · Total
Under 7.8
-1201uLoss−1.00u
Aug 19
3:30 PM UTC
Orioles @ Diamondbacks
MLB · Player Prop
Orioles F5 ML
Bullpen is gassed after three straight extra-inning games.
+1052uWin+2.10u
Aug 19
12:40 PM UTC
Cubs @ Phillies
MLB · Moneyline
Cubs ML
Starter is on short rest and the pen threw three innings last night.
+1001.5uWin+1.50u
Aug 19
12:00 PM UTC
Chiefs @ Bills
NFL · Player Prop
Bills team total Over
-1151uLoss−1.00u
Aug 18
7:10 PM UTC
Eagles @ Lions
NFL · Total
Under 38.4
-1201uWin+0.83u
Aug 18
1:40 PM UTC
Diamondbacks @ Cubs
MLB · Total
Over 10.4
-1102uWin+1.82u
Aug 16
4:15 PM UTC
49ers @ Jets
NFL · Moneyline
49ers ML
+1351.5uWin+2.03u
Aug 15
6:15 PM UTC
Yankees @ Mets
MLB · Moneyline
Mets ML
+1001uWin+1.00u
Aug 15
3:10 PM UTC
Packers @ Lions
NFL · Spread
Packers +9.0
-1101uWin+0.91u
Aug 14
4:10 PM UTC
Makhachev vs Adesanya
UFC · Moneyline
Makhachev ML
-2401uLoss−1.00u
Aug 12
8:30 PM UTC
Diamondbacks @ Twins
MLB · Spread
Twins -1.5
Reverse line movement. Sharp money is on this side.
-1002uLoss−2.00u
Aug 12
12:05 PM UTC
Astros @ Brewers
MLB · Total
Under 10.4
-1101uWin+0.91u
Aug 11
12:45 PM UTC
Packers @ Cowboys
NFL · Total
Over 46.3
-1052uWin+1.90u
Aug 10
2:45 PM UTC
Eagles @ Lions
NFL · Spread
Lions -7.0
-1201.5uWin+1.25u
Aug 10
12:45 PM UTC
Orioles @ Rangers
MLB · Moneyline
Orioles ML
-1001uLoss−1.00u
Aug 9
7:45 PM UTC
Phillies @ Twins
MLB · Total
Over 9.5
Bullpen is gassed after three straight extra-inning games.
-1001.5uWin+1.50u
Aug 9
3:20 PM UTC
Packers @ Lions
NFL · Total
Under 46.4
Opened at a worse number this morning. Taking it before it moves back.
-1101uVoid
Aug 8
5:10 PM UTC
Jets @ Packers
NFL · Total
Over 40.5
-1151.5uLoss−1.50u
Aug 7
2:40 PM UTC
Red Sox @ Padres
MLB · Moneyline
Red Sox ML
-1251.5uWin+1.20u
Aug 6
3:50 PM UTC
Cowboys @ Texans
NFL · Total
Over 40.7
Division dog getting more than a touchdown at home.
-1002uWin+2.00u
Aug 5
12:45 PM UTC
Ravens @ Bengals
NFL · Spread
Ravens -9.5
Both defenses top five in DVOA. Expecting a slog.
-1151.5uLoss−1.50u
Aug 4
6:30 PM UTC
49ers @ Bills
NFL · Spread
Bills -2.5
-1151uLoss−1.00u
Aug 4
4:10 PM UTC
Shevchenko vs O'Malley
UFC · Moneyline
O'Malley ML
Cardio has been the tell in every one of his third rounds.
-1351uWin+0.74u
Aug 3
8:05 PM UTC
Astros @ Mariners
MLB · Spread
Mariners -1.5
Public is heavy on the favorite, we're getting value fading it.
+1001.5uWin+1.50u
Aug 2
1:30 PM UTC
Phillies @ Red Sox
MLB · Total
Under 7.6
-1251uWin+0.80u
Aug 1
5:10 PM UTC
Yankees @ Dodgers
MLB · Spread
Dodgers -1.5
+1701.5uWin+2.55u
Jul 31
2:45 PM UTC
Twins @ Astros
MLB · Spread
Astros -1.5
+1001uLoss−1.00u
Jul 30
6:15 PM UTC
Twins @ Mariners
MLB · Moneyline
Mariners ML
Lefty splits are heavily in our favor in this park.
-1101.5uWin+1.36u
Jul 29
2:30 PM UTC
Volkanovski vs Shevchenko
UFC · Moneyline
Volkanovski ML
+1001uWin+1.00u
Jul 28
2:15 PM UTC
Rune v Sinner
Tennis · Moneyline
Sinner ML
Coming off a long five-setter with under 48 hours of rest.
-1002uLoss−2.00u
Jul 25
2:15 PM UTC
Sinner v Zverev
Tennis · Moneyline
Sinner ML
-2251uWin+0.44u
Jul 25
1:45 PM UTC
Astros @ Cubs
MLB · Player Prop
Astros F5 ML
Opened at a worse number this morning. Taking it before it moves back.
+1001uLoss−1.00u
Jul 24
3:30 PM UTC
Astros @ Mets
MLB · Spread
Mets -1.5
+1001uWin+1.00u
Jul 24
12:40 PM UTC
Astros @ Mariners
MLB · Total
Under 10.4
Opened at a worse number this morning. Taking it before it moves back.
-1201uWin+0.83u
Jul 23
7:00 PM UTC
Orioles @ Dodgers
MLB · Total
Over 9.4
-1001.5uLoss−1.50u
Jul 21
4:05 PM UTC
Mets @ Astros
MLB · Moneyline
Mets ML
-1001uWin+1.00u
Jul 20
7:00 PM UTC
Padres @ Dodgers
MLB · Total
Over 6.9
Umpire assignment has one of the widest zones in the league.
-1151uWin+0.87u
Jul 19
8:10 PM UTC
Dodgers @ Red Sox
MLB · Player Prop
Red Sox F5 ML
Roof is open and the wind is blowing straight out to left.
-1001.5uLoss−1.50u
Jul 19
5:45 PM UTC
Padres @ Red Sox
MLB · Total
Over 8.2
-1151.5uWin+1.30u
Jul 18
5:15 PM UTC
Mariners @ Dodgers
MLB · Moneyline
Mariners ML
Lefty splits are heavily in our favor in this park.
-1751.5uLoss−1.50u
Jul 18
4:10 PM UTC
Dodgers @ Brewers
MLB · Spread
Brewers -1.5
Public is heavy on the favorite, we're getting value fading it.
-1401.5uLoss−1.50u
Jul 17
7:00 PM UTC
Red Sox @ Guardians
MLB · Total
Over 10.2
-1253uLoss−3.00u
Jul 17
12:20 PM UTC
Mariners @ Red Sox
MLB · Moneyline
Red Sox ML
-1702uLoss−2.00u
Jul 16
2:00 PM UTC
Red Sox @ Mets
MLB · Total
Over 9.1
-1151uWin+0.87u
Jul 15
6:45 PM UTC
Braves @ Diamondbacks
MLB · Total
Over 8.8
-1101uWin+0.91u
Jul 14
3:00 PM UTC
Brewers @ Mariners
MLB · Moneyline
Brewers ML
Line moved a full point since open — getting the better number here.
+1001.5uLoss−1.50u
Jul 14
12:10 PM UTC
Brewers @ Padres
MLB · Moneyline
Padres ML
Public is heavy on the favorite, we're getting value fading it.
+1001uWin+1.00u
Jul 13
2:45 PM UTC
Yankees @ Dodgers
MLB · Total
Over 6.9
Weather report has 15mph wind blowing in. Under is the play.
-1001uLoss−1.00u
Jul 12
2:50 PM UTC
Topuria vs Adesanya
UFC · Moneyline
Adesanya ML
Southpaw matchup problem that he has never solved before.
+1901.5uLoss−1.50u
Jul 12
1:00 PM UTC
Brewers @ Mets
MLB · Player Prop
Brewers F5 ML
Roof is open and the wind is blowing straight out to left.
-1001uLoss−1.00u
Jul 11
1:05 PM UTC
Rangers @ Padres
MLB · Moneyline
Padres ML
Reverse line movement. Sharp money is on this side.
-1001.5uLoss−1.50u
Jul 10
3:00 PM UTC
Orioles @ Mets
MLB · Moneyline
Orioles ML
Lefty splits are heavily in our favor in this park.
+1601uWin+1.60u
Jul 10
12:45 PM UTC
Orioles @ Astros
MLB · Moneyline
Orioles ML
-1001uWin+1.00u
Jul 9
6:00 PM UTC
Dodgers @ Diamondbacks
MLB · Moneyline
Diamondbacks ML
Lefty splits are heavily in our favor in this park.
-1751uWin+0.57u
Jul 8
7:45 PM UTC
Shevchenko vs Makhachev
UFC · Moneyline
Makhachev ML
Opened at a worse number this morning. Taking it before it moves back.
-2101uLoss−1.00u
Jul 8
5:45 PM UTC
Sinner v Rune
Tennis · Moneyline
Sinner ML
Owns the head-to-head on hard courts.
-1001uWin+1.00u
Jul 7
4:40 PM UTC
Rangers @ Astros
MLB · Spread
Astros +1.5
Public is heavy on the favorite, we're getting value fading it.
+1001uWin+1.00u
Jul 6
1:50 PM UTC
Orioles @ Cubs
MLB · Moneyline
Cubs ML
-1003uWin+3.00u
Jul 5
5:30 PM UTC
Padres @ Mets
MLB · Total
Under 6.6
-1152uLoss−2.00u
Jul 5
12:05 PM UTC
Cubs @ Mariners
MLB · Moneyline
Mariners ML
-1001uLoss−1.00u
Jul 4
5:15 PM UTC
Yankees @ Diamondbacks
MLB · Moneyline
Diamondbacks ML
+1151.5uWin+1.72u
Jul 3
7:20 PM UTC
Orioles @ Dodgers
MLB · Moneyline
Dodgers ML
+1651uWin+1.65u
Jul 3
3:05 PM UTC
Orioles @ Dodgers
MLB · Moneyline
Dodgers ML
-1001.5uLoss−1.50u
Jul 2
1:15 PM UTC
Dodgers @ Cubs
MLB · Moneyline
Cubs ML
Lefty splits are heavily in our favor in this park.
-1201uLoss−1.00u
Jul 1
7:45 PM UTC
Rangers @ Yankees
MLB · Total
Under 9.4
Roof is open and the wind is blowing straight out to left.
-1051.5uWin+1.43u
Jul 1
12:00 PM UTC
Padres @ Brewers
MLB · Moneyline
Padres ML
Reverse line movement. Sharp money is on this side.
-1251uWin+0.80u
Jul 1
7:40 PM UTC
Makhachev vs Du Plessis
UFC · Moneyline
Du Plessis ML
Weight cut looked rough at the face-off yesterday.
+1751uWin+1.75u
Jun 30
12:40 PM UTC
Phillies @ Brewers
MLB · Moneyline
Phillies ML
-1151uWin+0.87u
Jun 30
12:10 PM UTC
Brewers @ Dodgers
MLB · Moneyline
Dodgers ML
-1001uLoss−1.00u
Jun 29
5:10 PM UTC
Mariners @ Phillies
MLB · Moneyline
Mariners ML
Line moved a full point since open — getting the better number here.
+1601.5uWin+2.40u
Jun 29
5:05 PM UTC
Djokovic v Zverev
Tennis · Moneyline
Zverev ML
+2101.5uLoss−1.50u
Jun 28
2:15 PM UTC
Padres @ Brewers
MLB · Spread
Brewers -1.5
+1252uLoss−2.00u
Jun 28
1:15 PM UTC
O'Malley vs Volkanovski
UFC · Moneyline
Volkanovski ML
-1001uWin+1.00u
Jun 27
6:45 PM UTC
Diamondbacks @ Cubs
MLB · Spread
Diamondbacks +1.5
Reverse line movement. Sharp money is on this side.
+1001.5uLoss−1.50u
Jun 26
6:10 PM UTC
Cubs @ Orioles
MLB · Moneyline
Orioles ML
-1001uWin+1.00u
Jun 24
12:15 PM UTC
Orioles @ Yankees
MLB · Moneyline
Orioles ML
Line moved a full point since open — getting the better number here.
-1851uWin+0.54u
Jun 23
4:20 PM UTC
Astros @ Orioles
MLB · Total
Under 8.0
-1202uWin+1.67u
Jun 23
3:40 PM UTC
Brewers @ Red Sox
MLB · Total
Under 7.7
-1152uWin+1.74u
Jun 22
5:20 PM UTC
Dodgers @ Phillies
MLB · Moneyline
Dodgers ML
Starter is on short rest and the pen threw three innings last night.
-1101uLoss−1.00u
Jun 22
1:45 PM UTC
Phillies @ Mets
MLB · Moneyline
Mets ML
Roof is open and the wind is blowing straight out to left.
-1301.5uWin+1.15u
Jun 21
4:15 PM UTC
Orioles @ Braves
MLB · Total
Under 10.1
-1153uWin+2.61u
Jun 21
2:45 PM UTC
Braves @ Mariners
MLB · Total
Under 8.9
-1102uWin+1.82u
Jun 20
2:10 PM UTC
Mariners @ Brewers
MLB · Player Prop
Brewers F5 ML
+1051.5uLoss−1.50u